Smokey and the Jobs

The controversy over speeding by the Governor’s SUV prompted one columnist [1] to tinker with the lyrics for the theme song from Smokey and the Bandit (the Burt Reynolds film in which a couple of lead-footed drivers set out on a multistate beer run through the South beating the law at every turn): “Gov. Terry Branstad’s SUV was apparently westbound and down, loaded up and truckin.’”

This naturally leads to a discussion about the Governor’s job goals, because of the next lines from the same song: “We gonna do what they say can’t be done. We’ve got a long way to go, and a short time to get there….”

Governor Branstad set out to produce 200,000 jobs in five years, a lofty goal and one all Iowans should want to see happen. But to do that, we need to average a net increase of about 3,300 jobs a month for that whole span. A pace like that has never come easily in Iowa. In the last two decades we have reached it only once, in 1994, over an entire calendar year.

And, through the first 28 months of his term, tracking we do for IPP’s monthly JobWatch shows we have a net gain of 48,000 jobs — a pace of 1,700 new jobs per month. That leaves 32 months at a pace of 4,800 jobs per month to gain the remaining 152,000. So the Governor has set an aggressive goal for one year, let alone five.

As the graph below indicates, the Iowa economy has just about caught up with both the state’s peak level of jobs and peak before the 2007-09 recession, while falling well short not only of the Governor’s goal but also the number of jobs needed to keep up with population growth.

Basic RGB

Another 152,000 jobs over 32 months?

We’re not going to say it can’t be done. But we’ve got a long way to go, and a short time to get there.

Posted by Mike Owen, Executive Director

[1] Todd Dorman, The Gazette, Cedar Rapids, “Smokey and the Branstad,” updated July 3, 2013 — http://thegazette.com/2013/07/03/smokey-and-the-branstad/

Explore posts in the same categories: Economic Opportunity, Organization

Tags: , , , , ,

You can comment below, or link to this permanent URL from your own site.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s


Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 1,685 other followers

%d bloggers like this: